Regis A. Ely
Associate Professor of Economics
Federal University of Pelotas (UFPel)
Department of Economics · Rua Gomes Carneiro 1, 4th floor · Pelotas RS, Brazil 96010-610
Associate Professor of Economics at the Federal University of Pelotas (UFPel) and permanent faculty in the Graduate Program in Organizations and Markets (PPGOM). PhD in Economics from the University of Brasília, with two postdoctoral degrees from Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV-SP and FGV-DF). I have worked in applied economics for over 15 years, published more than 40 peer-reviewed articles and coordinated technical projects for public and private institutions, building forecasting frameworks, designing evaluation methods and developing data visualization platforms, with the goal of turning econometrics and economic theory into inputs for institutional decision-making.
Skills
Experience
Federal University of Pelotas
Catholic University of Pelotas
Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul
Caixa Econômica Federal
Education
Selected Contracts, Agreements & Technical Work
A selection of contracts, agreements and technical work. See more details about the projects at regisely.com/portfolio.
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Estudo Técnico para Criação do Observatório Socioeconômico da Região da AZONASUL Ongoing
Development of a socioeconomic observatory to monitor indicators across the municipalities of southern Rio Grande do Sul.
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Elaboração de estudo técnico para apresentação de uma nova proposta de Política de Crédito do Sistema de Financiamento de Ações Municipais (SFM) Ongoing
Technical study for a new credit policy proposal for Paraná's Municipal Action Financing System (SFM) and development of a monitoring dashboard.
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Previsão e Determinantes do Equilíbrio Fiscal para o Estado de Goiás Ongoing
Development of a tax revenue forecasting framework with monthly monitoring to support the preparation of the annual budget law (LOA).
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Desenhos de Avaliação de Impacto para Programas Culturais
Design of impact evaluation mechanisms applied to cultural programs.
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Previsão de Receitas e Despesas para o Estado do Rio Grande do Sul
Development of a revenue and expenditure forecasting framework for fiscal monitoring of Rio Grande do Sul.
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Desenvolvimento de Métodos de Análise de Efeitos de Alterações de Política Tributária
Development of instruments to assess the effects of tax benefits on economic and social variables in Rio Grande do Sul.
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Previsão e determinantes do equilíbrio fiscal para o Estado de Goiás
Development of forecasting models for revenues, expenditures, and the payment capacity of the state of Goiás.
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Grupo de Atividade Econômica do Comitê de Ciência de Dados para a COVID-19
Analysis of economic activity indicators and forecasting models for Rio Grande do Sul's state GDP during the pandemic.
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Sinergias entre o programa microempreendedor individual e programas de assistência técnica
Evaluation of synergies between the Individual Microentrepreneur (MEI) program and technical assistance programs (Sistema S).
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Serviços digitais, reservas compulsórias, política monetária e seus efeitos sobre as atividades bancárias
Three studies on i) the effects of regulating digital financial activities (fintechs); ii) the influence of monetary policy on banks' credit portfolio composition; iii) changes in reserve requirement rates and lending costs.
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O Impacto da Lei de Falências no Mercado de Crédito Brasileiro
Impact of the Bankruptcy Law on the Brazilian credit market.
Selected Publications
A selection of recent publications. The full list can be found at lattes.cnpq.br/3708985718656687.
- 2025. “O impacto econômico do fim de um monopólio estatal: o caso do mercado de resseguros no Brasil”. Revista Brasileira de Economia 79: 1–24.
- 2024. “Interactions between monetary and macroprudential policies”. Quantitative Finance 24: 481–498.
- 2024. “The effects of macroprudential policies in the Brazilian banking sector”. Journal of Financial Economic Policy 17: 1.
- 2023. “A logarithmic market scoring rule agent-based model to evaluate prediction markets”. Journal of Evolutionary Economics 33: 1303–1343.
- 2022. “The impacts of interest rates on banks' loan portfolio risk-taking”. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 144: 104521.
- 2021. “The transmission mechanisms of macroprudential policies on bank risk”. Economic Modelling 94: 598–630.
- 2019. “Rural credit and the time allocation of agricultural households: the case of Pronaf in Brazil”. Review of Development Economics 23(4): 1863–1890.